In what ways might Texas’ politics change in the future based on its racial and ethnic makeup? Based on the population growth, urbanization, and economic transformation of the last two decades, how might Texas change in the next two decades? Which areas will grow in population, and what might Texas’ government have to do to respond to that growth?
The writing assignment should be a minimum of 750 words. Submissions must include a works cited page (note: there must be a parenthetical citation at the end of each sentence that contains information from a source). The textbook should be one of the sources and included on the works cited page (sources other than the textbook may be used as well).
Demographic Trends and Population Projections for Texas and the North Texas Region
Presented to
January 15, 2021
Texas is experiencing significant and substantial growth.
3
U.S. Estimated Population 2020: 329,484,123
Texas Estimated Population 2020: 29,360,759
Texas makes up 8.9% of the total U.S. population but 32.4% of the total growth between 2019 and 2020.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2020 Vintage population estimates Note: These data are not from the 2020 Census, rather estimates based on the 2010 Census
4
Population Growth of Select States, 2000-2019
2000 Population
2010 Population
2019 Population
Numeric Change
2010‐2019
Percent Change
2010‐2019
United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 32,823,9523 19,481,418 6.3%
Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 28,995,881 3,849,790 15.3%
California 33,871,648 37,253,956 39,512,223 2,257,704 6.1%
Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 21,477,737 2,673,173 14.2%
Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 10,617,423 928,694 9.6%
North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 10,488,084 952,333 10.0%
Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 7,614,893 890,353 13.2%
Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 7,278,717 886,429 13.9%
Colorado 5,029,196 5,029,196 5,758,736 729,417 14.5%
Texas adds more population than any other state and at a fast rate.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census; 2019 Vintage population estimates
Top 15 Metros in Numeric Growth, 2010‐2019
Rank Name April 1, 2010 July 1, 2018 July 1, 2019 Numeric Change
Percent Change
1 Dallas‐Fort Worth‐Arlington, TX 6,366,537 7,455,756 7,573,136 1,206,599 19.0 2 Houston‐The Woodlands‐Sugar Land, TX 5,920,487 4,849,209 7,066,141 1,145,654 19.4 3 Phoenix‐Mesa‐Chandler, AZ 4,193,129 4,849,209 4,948,203 755,074 18.0 4 Atlanta‐Sandy Springs‐Alpharetta, GA 5,286,718 6,976,147 6,020,364 733,646 13.9 5 Washington‐Arlington‐Alexandria, DC‐VA‐MD‐WV 5,649,688 5,945,303 6,280,487 630,799 11.2 6 Miami‐Fort Lauderdale‐Pompano Beach, FL 5,566,274 6,143,837 6,166,488 600,214 10.8 7 Seattle‐Tacoma‐Bellevue, WA 3,439,808 3,935,179 3,979,845 540,037 15.7 8 Austin‐Round Rock‐Georgetown, TX 1,716,323 2,165,497 2,227,083 510,760 29.8 9 Orlando‐Kissimmee‐Sanford, FL 2,134,399 2,574,838 2,608,147 473,748 22.2 10 Riverside‐San Bernardino‐Ontario, CA 4,224,948 4,612,542 4,650,631 425,683 10.1 11 Denver‐Aurora‐Lakewood, CO 2,543,608 2,931,665 2,967,239 423,631 16.7 12 Tampa‐St. Petersburg‐Clearwater, FL 2,783,485 3,154,649 3,194,831 411,346 14.8 13 San Antonio‐New Braunfels, TX 2,142,520 2,512,379 2,550,960 408,440 19.1 14 San Francisco‐Oakland‐Berkeley, CA 4,335,593 4,726,314 4,731,803 396,210 9.1 15 Charlotte‐Concord‐Gastonia, NC‐SC 2,243,963 2,592,950 2,636,883 392,920 17.5
5Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Vintage Population Estimates
DFW leads nation in metro growth for the 4th year in a row.
Five of the 15 largest U.S. cities are in Texas. Rank Place Census 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
1 New York, NY 8,175,133 8,272,948 8,346,693 8,396,091 8,433,806 8,463,049 8,469,153 8,437,478 8,390,081 8,336,817
2 Los Angeles, CA 3,792,621 3,820,876 3,851,202 3,881,622 3,909,901 3,938,568 3,963,226 3,975,788 3,977,596 3,979,576
3 Chicago, IL 2,695,598 2,708,114 2,719,141 2,725,731 2,727,066 2,724,344 2,716,723 2,711,069 2,701,423 2,693,976
4 Houston, TX 2,099,451 2,126,032 2,161,593 2,199,391 2,241,826 2,286,908 2,309,544 2,316,750 2,318,573 2,320,268
5 Phoenix, AZ 1,445,632 1,469,796 1,499,274 1,526,491 1,555,445 1,583,690 1,612,199 1,633,560 1,654,675 1,680,992
6 Philadelphia, PA 1,526,006 1,540,466 1,551,824 1,558,313 1,565,460 1,571,065 1,576,051 1,580,601 1,583,592 1,584,064
7 San Antonio, TX 1,327,407 1,357,120 1,383,075 1,408,339 1,435,456 1,464,043 1,487,843 1,511,154 1,530,016 1,547,253
8 San Diego, CA 1,307,402 1,319,592 1,336,776 1,355,320 1,375,831 1,387,323 1,402,089 1,412,621 1,421,917 1,423,851
9 Dallas, TX 1,197,816 1,218,282 1,242,115 1,258,835 1,279,098 1,301,329 1,323,916 1,342,479 1,341,802 1,343,573
10 San Jose, CA 945,942 970,369 983,530 1,001,279 1,014,273 1,025,980 1,030,242 1,032,335 1,028,020 1,021,795
11 Austin, TX 790,390 828,459 854,482 875,003 901,170 921,114 939,447 951,553 962,469 978,908
12 Jacksonville, FL 821,784 829,609 837,013 842,735 852,494 865,836 880,520 892,025 902,437 911,507
13 Fort Worth, TX 741,206 764,142 781,046 796,073 815,057 835,356 856,177 874,809 893,216 909,585
14 Columbus, OH 787,033 800,607 812,740 827,797 841,673 854,950 866,894 881,694 890,869 898,553
15 Charlotte, NC 731,424 754,829 773,264 792,047 807,400 825,668 843,117 860,002 872,514 885,708 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Vintage Population Estimates
6
Rank Geographic Area Population Estimate Change, 2018 to 2019
July 1, 2018 July 1, 2019 Number Percent
1 Phoenix, AZ 1,654,675 1,680,992 26,317 1.6
2 San Antonio, TX 1,530,016 1,547,253 17,237 1.1
3 Austin, TX 962,469 978,908 16,439 1.7
4 Fort Worth, TX 893,216 909,585 16,369 1.8
5 Charlotte, NC 872,514 885,708 13,194 1.5
6 Frisco, TX 188,452 200,490 12,038 6.4
7 Seattle, WA 742,235 753,675 11,440 1.5
8 Denver, CO 716,265 727,211 10,946 1.5
9 Henderson, NV 309,518 320,189 10,671 3.4
10 Mesa, AZ 507,945 518,012 10,067 2.0
11 Jacksonville, FL 902,437 911,507 9,070 1.0
12 Chico, CA 94,342 103,301 8,959 9.5
13 Atlanta, GA 498,183 506,811 8,628 1.7
14 Las Vegas, NV 643,228 651,319 8,091 1.3
15 Meridian, ID 106,464 114,161 7,697 7.2 7Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Vintage Population Estimates; Note: among places with populations of 50,000 or more in 2018
Texas cities among top 15 US cities with largest numeric increase between 2018 and 2019.
Rank Geographic Area Population Estimate Change, 2018 to 2019
July 1, 2018 July 1, 2019 Number Percent 1 Leander, TX 55,924 62,608 6,684 12.0 2 Apex, NC 53,859 59,300 5,441 10.1 3 Chico, CA 94,342 103,301 8,959 9.5 4 Doral, FL 60,762 65,741 4,979 8.2 5 Bentonville, AR 51,103 54,909 3,806 7.4 6 Meridian, ID 106,464 114,161 7,697 7.2 7 Georgetown, TX 74,275 79,604 5,329 7.2 8 Buckeye, AZ 74,339 79,620 5,281 7.1 9 New Braunfels, TX 84,495 90,209 5,714 6.8 10 Redmond, WA 67,436 71,929 4,493 6.7 11 Frisco, TX 188,452 200,490 12,038 6.4 12 Fort Myers, FL 82,229 87,103 4,874 5.9 13 Lehi, UT 65,958 69,724 3,766 5.7 14 Castle Rock, CO 65,000 68,484 3,484 5.4 15 Milpitas, CA 80,208 84,196 3,988 5.0
8Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Vintage Population Estimates; Note: among places with populations of 50,000 or more in 2018
Nearly a third of the 15 fastest-growing large cities and towns in the country are in Texas.
Population and population growth in Texas are not evenly geographically distributed.
10,000 or less 10,001 – 50,000 50,001 – 100,000 100,001 – 500,000 500,001 – 1,000,000 1,000,001 – 6,000,000 plus
Cartogram of Texas County Populations in 2010
10
Pecos
Brewster
Webb
Hudspeth
Presidio Terrell
Reeves
Val Verde
Crockett
Duval
Harris
Hill
Frio
Bell
Kenedy
Kerr
Starr
Polk
Clay
Jeff Davis
Irion
Uvalde
Sutton
Hall
Ellis
Dallam
Gaines
Bexar
Hidalgo
Leon
Hale
Bee
Hartley
Upton
Kinney
Erath
Brazoria
King
Oldham
Zavala
Dimmit
Jack Kent
Gray
Cass
Kimble
Lynn Wise
Lamb Floyd
Andrews
Terry
Coke
Llano Milam
Travis
Ector
Knox
Falls
Collin
Nueces
Ward
Bowie
Kleberg
Foard
Culberson
Edwards
La Salle
Tyler
Medina
Hunt
Rusk
Liberty
Smith
Mills
Lee
Matagorda
Jones
Burnet
Nolan
Potter
Zapata
Cottle
Taylor
Coryell Reagan Houston
Motley
Brown
Young
Maverick
Lamar
Real
Martin
Coleman
Garza
Dallas
Jasper
Fisher
Tom Green
Moore
Cameron
Baylor
Deaf Smith
Archer
Scurry
Mason
Cooke
Navarro
Parker
Castro
Brooks
Atascosa
Hardin
DeWitt
Lavaca
Bailey
Donley
Bosque El Paso
Denton
Goliad
Wharton
Fannin
Runnels
Concho
Tarrant
Hays Fayette
Carson
Schleicher
Crosby
Crane
Borden
Calhoun
Gillespie
Haskell
Newton
Live Oak
Jefferson
McMullen
Jim Hogg
Randall
Sterling
Briscoe
Shelby
Mitchell
Parmer
Victoria
Wilson
Roberts
Menard
San Saba
Howard
Wood
Panola
Grayson
Trinity
Bastrop
Walker
Midland
Gonzales
Hockley
Anderson
Dickens
Swisher
Winkler
Dawson
Cherokee
Wheeler
Willacy
Grimes
Harrison
Colorado
Red River
Eastland
Lubbock
Williamson
Hemphill
Refugio
Karnes Jackson
McCulloch
Ochiltree
Wilbarger
Austin
Sherman
McLennan
Hansford
Blanco
Callahan Loving
Yoakum
Angelina
Lipscomb
Stephens
Hopkins
Palo Pinto
Stonewall
Montague
Hamilton
Bandera
Jim Wells
Cochran
Limestone
Fort Bend
Kaufman
Armstrong
Freestone Comanche
Montgomery
Glasscock
Kendall
Henderson
Galveston
Comal
Johnson Van Zandt
Wichita
Chambers
Titus
Robertson
Brazos
Hutchinson
Sabine
Upshur
Waller
Shackelford Hood
Childress
Burleson
Nacogdoches
Collingsworth
Lampasas
Throckmorton
Hardeman
Guadalupe Caldwell
Aransas
Marion
San Patricio
Madison
San Jacinto
Delta
Orange
Rains
Gregg
San Augustine
Morris
Franklin
Somervell
Rockwall
169 – 10,000
10,001 – 100,000
100,001 – 500,000
5000,001 – 2,000,000
2,000,001 – 4,713,325
Approximately 86% of the total Texas population is located in counties along and to the east of I-35.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Population Estimates
Total Estimated Population by County, 2019
11
Of Texas’ 254 counties, 104 lost population between 2010 and 2019.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Population Estimates
-3,663 – 0
1 – 5,000
5,001 – 25,000
25,001 – 100,000
100,001 – 620,149
Pecos
Brewster
Webb
Hudspeth
Presidio Terrell
Reeves
Val Verde
Crockett
Duval
Harris
Hill
Frio
Bell
Kenedy
Kerr
Starr
Polk
Clay
Jeff Davis
Irion
Uvalde
Sutton
Hall
Ellis
Dallam
Gaines
Bexar
Hidalgo
Leon
Hale
Bee
Hartley
Upton
Kinney
Erath
Brazoria
King
Oldham
Zavala
Dimmit
Jack Kent
Gray
Cass
Kimble
Lynn Wise
Lamb Floyd
Andrews
Terry
Coke
Llano Milam
Travis
Ector
Knox
Falls
Collin
Nueces
Ward
Bowie
Kleberg
Foard
Culberson
Edwards
La Salle
Tyler
Medina
Hunt
Rusk
Liberty
Smith
Mills
Lee
Matagorda
Jones
Burnet
Nolan
Potter
Zapata
Cottle
Taylor
Coryell Reagan Houston
Motley
Brown
Young
Maverick
Lamar
Real
Martin
Coleman
Garza
Dallas
Jasper
Fisher
Tom Green
Moore
Cameron
Baylor
Deaf Smith
Archer
Scurry
Mason
Cooke
Navarro
Parker
Castro
Brooks
Atascosa
Hardin
DeWitt
Lavaca
Bailey
Donley
Bosque El Paso
Denton
Goliad
Wharton
Fannin
Runnels
Concho
Tarrant
Hays Fayette
Carson
Schleicher
Crosby
Crane
Borden
Calhoun
Gillespie
Haskell
Newton
Live Oak
Jefferson
McMullen
Jim Hogg
Randall
Sterling
Briscoe
Shelby
Mitchell
Parmer
Victoria
Wilson
Roberts
Menard
San Saba
Howard
Wood
Panola
Grayson
Trinity
Bastrop
Walker
Midland
Gonzales
Hockley
Anderson
Dickens
Swisher
Winkler
Dawson
Cherokee
Wheeler
Willacy
Grimes
Harrison
Colorado
Red River
Eastland
Lubbock
Williamson
Hemphill
Refugio
Karnes Jackson
McCulloch
Ochiltree
Wilbarger
Austin
Sherman
McLennan
Hansford
Blanco
Callahan Loving
Yoakum
Angelina
Lipscomb
Stephens
Hopkins
Palo Pinto
Stonewall
Montague
Hamilton
Bandera
Jim Wells
Cochran
Limestone
Fort Bend
Kaufman
Armstrong
Freestone Comanche
Montgomery
Glasscock
Kendall
Henderson
Galveston
Comal
Johnson Van Zandt
Wichita
Chambers
Titus
Robertson
Brazos
Hutchinson
Sabine
Upshur
Waller
Shackelford Hood
Childress
Burleson
Nacogdoches
Collingsworth
Lampasas
Throckmorton
Hardeman
Guadalupe Caldwell
Aransas
Marion
San Patricio
Madison
San Jacinto
Delta
Orange
Rains
Gregg
San Augustine
Morris
Franklin
Somervell
Rockwall
Estimated Numeric Change by County, 2010‐2019
Pecos
Brewster
Webb
Hudspeth
Presidio
Culberson
Terrell
Reeves
Val Verde
Crockett
Duval
Harris
Hill
Frio
Bell
Kenedy
Kerr Edwards
Starr
Polk
Clay
Jeff Davis
Irion
Uvalde
Sutton
Hall
Ellis
Dallam
Gaines
Bexar
Hidalgo
Leon
Hale
Bee
Hartley
Upton
Kinney
Erath
Brazoria
King
Oldham
Zavala
Dimmit
Jack Kent
La Salle
Tyler
Gray
Cass
Medina
Kimble
Lynn Wise Hunt
Rusk
Lamb Floyd
Andrews
Liberty
Terry
Coke
Llano Milam
Travis
Ector
Smith
Knox
Mills
Lee
Falls
Collin
Nueces
Jones
Ward
Burnet
Nolan
Potter
Cottle
Taylor
Coryell
Bowie
Motley
Young
Lamar
Real
Martin
Garza
Dallas Fisher
Moore
Kleberg
Cameron
Baylor
Deaf Smith
Archer
Scurry
Mason
Cooke
Navarro
Parker
Castro
Hardin
Donley
El Paso
Denton
Goliad
Fannin
Schleicher
Gillespie
Shelby
Menard
Foard
Wood
Panola
Harrison
Eastland
Bandera
Matagorda
Zapata
Reagan Houston
Brown
Maverick
Coleman
Jasper
Tom Green
Brooks
Atascosa DeWitt
Lavaca
Bailey
Bosque
Wharton
Runnels
Concho
Tarrant
Hays Fayette
Carson
Crosby
Crane
Borden
Calhoun
Haskell
Newton
Live Oak
Jefferson
McMullen
Jim Hogg
Randall
Sterling
Briscoe
Mitchell
Parmer
Victoria
Wilson
Roberts
San Saba
Howard
Grayson
Trinity
Bastrop
Walker
Midland
Gonzales
Hockley
Anderson
Dickens
Swisher
Winkler
Dawson
Cherokee
Wheeler
Willacy
Grimes
Colorado
Red River
Lubbock
Williamson
Hemphill
Refugio
Karnes Jackson
McCulloch
Ochiltree
Wilbarger
Austin
Sherman
McLennan
Hansford
Blanco
Callahan
Loving
Yoakum
Angelina
Lipscomb
Stephens
Hopkins
Palo Pinto
Stonewall
Montague
Hamilton
Jim Wells
Cochran
Limestone
Fort Bend
Kaufman
Armstrong
Freestone Comanche
Montgomery
Glasscock
Kendall
Henderson
Galveston
Comal
Johnson
Van Zandt
Wichita
Chambers
Titus
Robertson
Brazos
Hutchinson
Sabine
Upshur
Waller
Shackelford Hood
Childress
Burleson
Nacogdoches
Collingsworth
Lampasas
Throckmorton
Hardeman
Guadalupe
Caldwell
Aransas
Marion
San Patricio
Madison
San Jacinto
Washington
Delta
Orange
Rains